Consider 5 independent Bernoulli's trials each with probability of success p. If the probability of at least one failure is greater than or equal to \(\frac{{31}}{{32}}\) , then p lies in the interval :
\(1 - {P^5} \ge \frac{{31}}{{32}}\)
\({P^5} \le \frac{1}{{32}}\)
\(P \le \frac{1}{2}\)
\(P \in \left[ {0,\frac{1}{2}} \right]\)
We have 5 independent Bernoulli trials, each with probability of success . The probability of at least one failure is given to be greater than or equal to . We need to find the interval in which lies.
The probability of "at least one failure" is the complement of the event "no failures" (i.e., all successes).
Let = Probability of at least one failure.
Let = Probability of all successes.
Therefore, .
Since the trials are independent, the probability of all successes is .
Step 1: Write the inequality based on the given condition.
Probability of at least one failure .
This means: .
Step 2: Solve the inequality for .
Subtract 1 from both sides and multiply by -1 (remembering to reverse the inequality sign):
(Multiplying both sides by -1 reverses the inequality)
Step 3: Take the fifth root of both sides to solve for .
Step 4: Consider the domain of .
Since is a probability, it must lie between 0 and 1, inclusive: .
Our inequality from Step 3 gives us .
Combining this with the domain, we get the final interval: .
Final Answer:
This corresponds to the option:
Bernoulli Trials: A random experiment with exactly two possible outcomes, "success" and "failure".
Binomial Distribution: The probability of getting exactly successes in independent Bernoulli trials is given by:
Complementary Probability: For any event , the probability that occurs is . This is often used to simplify problems involving "at least one" occurrence of an event.